Published: 2/19/2018 2:11:00 AM
Analysts at Westpac note that NZ markets continue to assign little chance of an RBNZ rate hike until 2019, with May 2019 fully priced but Nov 2018 under 50%.
“That is keeping the short end well and truly anchored, with little on the NZ event calendar this week to disturb that caution.”
“One result of an RBNZ-anchored short end is that short end NZGBs are seeing greater demand than long end NZGBs. While the difference is historically pronounced, it could become even more so. As NZ-US yield spreads have declined, the sensitivity of NZ rates to US rates has increased.”
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